[New York Times] North Korea Claims No Coronavirus Cases. Can It Be Trusted?

www.nytimes.com/2020/03/31/world/asia/north-korea-coronavirus.html

By Choe Sang-Hun

March 31, 2020

Shin Dong-yun, a scientist from the North Korean Institute of Virology, rushed to the northwestern border with China in early February. There, he conducted 300 tests, skipping meals to assess a stream of people so that “the country is protected from the invasion of the novel coronavirus.”

Stories like this, carried in the state-run newspaper Rodong Sinmun, focus attention on one of the stranger oddities surrounding the Covid-19 pandemic: How could North Korea claim to not have a single coronavirus case while countries around the world stagger under the exploding epidemic?

North Korea has taken some of the most drastic actions against the virus and did so sooner than most other nations. It sealed its borders in late January, shutting off business with neighboring China, which accounts for nine-tenths of its external trade. It clamped down on the smugglers who keep its thriving unofficial markets functioning. It quarantined all diplomats in Pyongyang for a month.

The totalitarian state’s singular ability to control the movement of people also bolsters its disease-control efforts.

But decades of isolation and international sanctions have ravaged North Korea’s public health system, raising fears that it lacks the medical supplies to fight an outbreak, which many fear has already occurred.

“You can see immediately what’s going to happen if you get a surge of Covid-19 patients streaming in,” said Dr. Kee B. Park, a lecturer at Harvard Medical School who has worked alongside North Korean doctors to help improve the country’s health system. “It will overwhelm the system very quickly.”

Many observers of North Korea doubt its claims of not having any coronavirus cases. But a lack of testing equipment may mean it literally has not detected a single case, Dr. Park said.

“It’s because they may have cases but they just don’t know how to detect it,” he said. “So they can say, ‘We have not confirmed it.’”

Some accuse North Korea of hiding an outbreak to preserve order.

“It’s a blatant lie when they say they have no cases,” said Seo Jae-pyoung, secretary-general of the Seoul-based Association of North Korean Defectors, who said he heard from his North Korean contact that a family of three and an elderly couple died of the virus in the east coast city of Chongjin in mid-March. “The last thing the North wants is a social chaos that may erupt when North Koreans realize that people are dying of an epidemic with no cure.”

The North’s leader, Kim Jong-un, is clearly aware of the threat the virus poses to his country’s decrepit health system. Around when Washington announced on Feb. 13 that it would allow coronavirus-related humanitarian shipments, North Korea made a rare request for urgent help from relief groups, including diagnostic kits, according to people familiar with the matter.

In recent weeks, the North’s official media outlets have carried alarming reports detailing the coronavirus’s toll around the world: a snowballing caseload in South Korea; bodies piling up in Italy; “panicked citizens” hoarding “guns and ammunition” in the United States.

They contrast such reports with pictures of North Korean disease-control officials in full protective gear spraying disinfectant in buses, trams, playgrounds and hotel gyms in Pyongyang, the showcase capital city. Garment factories are shown making masks instead of clothes. There is a national drive to send eggs, meat and fish to those under quarantine.

By its own account, North Korea has quarantined 10,000 people. International disease-control officials “have all been amazed” how North Korea could have done it, the state-run Rodong newspaper said this month.

But video clips shot in Hyesan, a town on the North’s central border with China, in February and early March depict a far less flattering picture of the North’s disease-control efforts.

A red wooden marker on a sidewalk covered with a dirty slush of ice said “disinfection station,” according to a clip, which was smuggled to the Rev. Kim Seung-eun, a human-rights activist in South Korea and viewed by The New York Times. A lone official in a green plastic suit with a tank of disinfecting liquid on his back stood idly. A sliver van raced through the town blaring the importance of wearing masks. In another clip, the sign “Quarantined” was stuck on the door of what looked like a tenement house where Reverend Kim said people with possible symptoms were kept.

Reverend Kim said one of his North Korean contacts had been unable to return home for a month after visiting another town because the government controlled internal movement. Such restrictions were needed for disease control because of North Korea’s crowded public transportation network.

The country’s information blackout and the inability of outside health experts to get into the country leaves the rest of the world largely in the dark about how North Korea is coping with the virus.

Last month, Daily NK, a Seoul-based website that hires anonymous informants inside the North, reported the deaths of 200 soldiers, as well as 23 others, who were suspected of contracting the coronavirus. But Kang Mi-jin, a North Korean defector-turned journalist in Seoul, said that no matter how hard they searched, her contacts in the North could not find a death officially ascribed to the coronavirus.

In the past, the country has hushed or played down epidemics, military rebellions, man-made disasters or anything else that could undermine the people’s faith in the government.

But this time, the North’s unusually aggressive moves, as well as its unique ability to detain people, may have prevented a devastating outbreak, said Jung Gwang-il, a North Korean defector who leads No Chain, a North Korean human rights activist group in Seoul. As soon as an outbreak was reported in China, North Korea rounded up all Chinese visitors in its northeastern town of Rason and quarantine d them on an island for a month, Mr. Jung said.

“It’s safe to say that there are cases in North Korea but I don’t think the outbreak there is as large as the ones we have seen in South Korea, Italy and the U.S.,” said Ahn Kyung-su, the head of the Seoul-based Research Center of DPRK Health and Welfare, which monitors the North’s health system.

“North Koreans are trained to obey government orders in a shipshape way during crises. But there is the risk of the virus running out of control if it starts spreading among its malnourished people.”

Mr. Ahn said testing kits from China were available in big cities like Pyongyang. Telltale evidence came when Kim Jong-un inspected a missile test this month and military officers surrounding him did not wear masks, which Mr. Ahn said would not have happened had they not tested negative.

But the coronavirus has put Mr. Kim between a rock and a hard place, analysts say.

On March 17, he broke ground on a modern “Pyongyang General Hospital” to be completed by October. But such projects in the North rely on mass mobilizations of soldiers who sleep and eat together for months at a stretch, and raise the risk of mass infections during an epidemic.

By this month, some help began reaching North Korea in its efforts to confront the virus. Russia donated 1,500 test kits. China is also believed to have sent diagnostic tools. The United Nations has begun waiving sanctions for aid groups like the Red Cross to ship testing machines and diagnostic kits, as well as ventilators and protective equipment. But the shipments have been slow.

“Given the global shortage of supplies and items being available in different locations, we are still in the process of procuring the items,” said Ellie Van Baaren, a Red Cross spokeswoman.

[AP] NKorea’s Kim admits troubled medical system amid virus fears

www.apnews.com/fdf067d4beb43fdb5197aab24163adc0

March 18, 2020

North Korean leader Kim Jong Un acknowledged that his country lacks modern medical facilities and called for urgent improvements, state media said Wednesday, in a rare assessment of the North’s health care system that comes amid worries about the coronavirus in the impoverished country.

Outside experts say a coronavirus epidemic in the North could be devastating due its chronic lack of medical supplies and outdated health care infrastructure. Kim’s comments were made during a ceremony Tuesday marking the start of construction on a new hospital.

North Korea has engaged in an intense campaign to guard against the new virus, though it has steadfastly maintained that no one has been sickened, a claim many foreign experts doubt.

During a groundbreaking ceremony for a “modern general hospital” in Pyongyang, the capital, Kim said it’s “crucial” for the state’s efforts to be directed “to prop up the field of public health,” according to the North’s official Korean Central News Agency, or KCNA. It cited Kim as saying the construction must be completed before October’s 75th founding anniversary of the ruling Workers’ Party.

Kim said the ruling party decided on building the hospital during a key party meeting in late December and was working to have it finished “in the shortest time.” In an unusual admission on a troubled state system, Kim also said, “Frankly speaking, our party … criticized in a heart-aching manner the fact that there is not a modern medical and health care facility even in our capital city,” according to KCNA.

Kim appears to be using the hospital construction to burnish his image as a leader caring about public livelihoods at a time when his country is grappling with international sanctions amid stalled nuclear diplomacy with the United States, said Ahn Kyung-su, head of the Seoul-based private Research Center of DPRK Health and Welfare.

He said North Korea has several modern general hospitals in Pyongyang but an analysis of construction drawings for the new hospital shown in KCNA photos suggested it would be the most sophisticated hospital in North Korea when it’s built.

In a report to the World Health Organization, North Korea said it had 135 general and other major hospitals throughout the country as of 2017, according to South Korea’s Unification Ministry.

Some observers said North Korea may have hurried the hospital’s construction since China reported the first cases of the new disease in December.

While the new coronavirus can be deadly, particularly for the elderly and people with other health problems, for most people it causes only mild or moderate symptoms, such as fever and cough. Some feel no symptoms at all and the vast majority of people recover.

Kim’s attendance at the hospital ceremony also confirmed that he returned to Pyongyang after supervising artillery firing exercises on North Korea’s east coast. His visits to the rural coastal areas had prompted outside speculation that he may have been trying to avoid the virus.

“North Korea clearly stated the date for the groundbreaking ceremony was March 17, and that clearly showed Chairman Kim Jong Un is back to Pyongyang and is governing state affairs normally,” said Kim Dong-yub, an analyst at Seoul’s Institute for Far Eastern Studies.

North Korea banned foreign tourists, delayed the school year and quarantined hundreds of foreigners and thousands of locals to avoid the virus that has spread worldwide. Last week, KCNA described authorities inspecting and disinfecting vehicles, vessels and goods at border areas and ports and said some imports remained sealed for 10 days before being handed over to recipients.

Groups that monitor North Korea from South Korea, say the country has had cases of infection with the new coronavirus as well as fatalities. Some experts say the Kim government considers public disclosure of those cases harmful to its tight grip on power.

The chief of the 28,500 U.S. troops in South Korea said last week that he was fairly certain North Korea has not been spared from the virus. Army Gen. Robert Abrams noted that the North had halted military training for a month, essentially putting its troops in a lockdown, but has since resumed training exercises and flying.

Earlier this month, Kim Jong Un sent a letter to South Korea’s president to express condolences over the soaring coronavirus outbreak in the South. Kim’s letter was delivered a day after his powerful younger sister insulted and criticized Seoul. Some experts speculated that the development suggested that Kim was aiming to throw South Korea off balance before asking for coronavirus-related aid items such as test kits.

About 290 foreigners who were quarantined in North Korea have been released, including some diplomats who were flown to Vladivostok, Russia, on a special North Korean flight. It wasn’t immediately known whether North Korea plans another flight.

[기사] 알츠하이머 예방 효과를 은폐한 제약사

기사명: 알츠하이머 예방 효과를 은폐한 제약사

내용:

(전략)

최근 미국을 뜨겁게 달군 약이 하나 있다. 제약회사와 연구자들, 언론, 시민단체, 환자단체까지 갑론을박을 주고받으며 논란의 중심에 선 이 약은 바로 화이자의 류마티스 관절염 치료제 엔브렐이다. 류마티스 관절염은 우리 몸의 면역체계가 스스로를 적으로 인식해 자신을 공격하는 일종의 자가면역질환이다. 주요하게는 TNF-α라는 단백질이 몸에서 과다하게 만들어져 발병하는 것으로 알려져 있는데 엔브렐은 바로 이 단백질을 억제하는 약이다. 미국, 캐나다 등 북미에서는 암젠이 판매권을 갖고 있으며 그 이외 지역에서는 화이자가 독점권을 갖고 있는 엔브렐은 글로벌 탑 10 의약품 판매 순위에 빠지지 않았으나 최근 특허가 만료되면서 낙동강 오리알 신세로 점차 전락하는 중이었다. 그런데 왜 이 오리알이 갑자기 무대의 중앙에서 스포트라이트를 받는 걸까?

지난 6월 4일 <워싱턴포스트>는 화이자가 엔브렐이 알츠하이머 치매에 효과가 있다는 사실을 은폐했다고 발표했다. 화이자 내부 연구팀이 2015년 보험 기록을 검토하던 중 엔브렐을 복용한 사람이 그렇지 않은 사람에 비해 알츠하이머 발병 위험이 64%나 줄어든다는 사실을 발견했다는 것이다. 지난 해 2월 화이자 내부 위원회 검토를 위해 준비한 자료에서는 ‘엔브렐이 잠재적으로 안전하게 알츠하이머병을 예방하고 치료하며, 진행을 늦출 수 있다’고 적혀있다. 연구원들은 엔브렐의 알츠하이머 치료에 대한 임상시험을 진행해야 한다고 주장했으나 화이자는 이를 받아들이지 않았다.

(중략)

그러나 이번 일을 바라보는 대다수 과학자들과 연구자들의 해석은 다르다. 엔브렐의 특허가 만료되어 바이오시밀러들이 이미 속속 등장하고 있고 이에 더 이상 돈을 투자하고 싶지도, 자료를 공유하고 싶지도 않은 화이자의 경제적 이윤 동기만이 이 사태의 시작이자 끝이라는 것이다. 하나의 약을 탄생시키기 위해서 제약회사는 공공의 비용으로 수행된 온갖 연구 자료를 밑거름으로 삼는다. 여기에 더해 수많은 세제 혜택과 세금 감면을 받고 20년이라는 특허 독점권도 부여받는다. 이 사회가 제약회사에게 이런 혜택을 주는 이유는 그들에게 인류를 구원할 질병 치료제를 개발하고 생산해내라는 사회적 책임을 부여하기 때문이다. 화이자의 이번 결정을 단지 자본의 자율성이라는 미명하에 이해되고 용서될 수 없는 이유가 바로 그것이다.

(후략)

[기사] 독감보다 무서운 조한경의 독감론

기사명: [환자혁명 비판④] 독감보다 무서운 조한경의 독감론

내용:

(전략)

저자는 ‘항온동물의 숙명’ 운운하며 ‘환절기에 걸리는 감기는 바이러스와는 관계 없이 날씨나 환경 변화에 맞추기 위해 몸이 부대끼는 몸살일 뿐’이라고 주장합니다. 환절기 감기 대부분은 바이러스 감염이 원인이 아니고, 따라서 백신은 소용이 없다는 겁니다. 그러면서 무슨 큰 비밀이라도 알려주는 양 ‘ILI(Influenza like illness)’란 용어에 대해 설명합니다.

‘ILI(Influenza like illness)라고 해서 굳이 번역하자면 ‘유사 독감’이다. 바이러스와는 관계없이 우리 몸이 외부 환경 변화에 맞추기 위해 부대끼는 몸살이다(환자 혁명, 299p).’

애썼습니다만 굳이 어렵게 번역할 필요 없어요. 이미 우리나라 질병관리본부에선 ILI를 가리켜 ‘인플루엔자 의사환자(의심질환)’이라는 용어를 사용해 왔습니다. 세계보건기구(WHO) 및 여러 국가에서 사용하는 ILI의 정의는 다음과 같습니다.

‘최근 10일 이내에 38도 이상의 갑작스러운 발열과 더불어 기침 또는 인후통을 보이는 급성 호흡기 감염’(cdc.go.kr 표본감시 결과보고서).

사실 ILI는 독감 유행을 조기에 인지하고, 관리 대책을 마련하기 위한 기초자료로 사용하는 개념이지, 새로운 진단명이 아닙니다. ILI는 ‘독감과 증상은 유사하지만 바이러스와는 관계가 없는 몸살’이 아니라, 단지 ‘호흡기 감염자 중 독감이 의심되는 사람’을 지칭하는 용어일 뿐입니다. 용어를 멋대로 정의하니까 황당한 주장이 가능해지네요. 상상력이 풍부한 건지, 어디서 누가 잘못 적어놓은 걸 베껴 왔는지 몰라도 책에다 저런 말을 써놓으면 민폐가 되지요.

(후략)